Seminar: Modeling Across Scales to Understand Changes in Tropical Cyclone Precipitation with Climate Change

Abstract:

Tropical cyclones (TCs) cause major damage every year around the world from their high winds, storm surge, and extreme precipitation. While both physical theory and climate models suggest that TC precipitation will increase due to climate change, only recently have studies come out trying to understand the causes and complexities of this increase. Additionally, multiple recent studies using about 20 years of satellite-derived precipitation products have found a decreasing temporal trend in TC inner-core precipitation and an increasing temporal trend in outer rainband precipitation. My talk will discuss my research on the impacts of climate warming on TC precipitation, including the discrepancy between observed trends and model output, using a modeling across scales approach.